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tarheelg61581

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About tarheelg61581

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  • Birthday 06/15/1981

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    Creedmoor, NC
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    tarheel61581

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  • Favorite High School
    South Granville Vikings

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  1. tarheelg61581

    First Flight at North Davidson

    I believe not going would result in a fine.....they had the chance to opt out of the playoffs, but that has to be done ahead of time, not after the brackets are released
  2. tarheelg61581

    Friendly Bracket Picking Contest

    Well, see that's what makes it interesting.....most people on here only see their team, who their team plays, maybe film from who the teams you played have played, maybe an occasional game you went to watch when your team wasn't playing, and highlights from others in your area on the local news....other than that, we have very little to go on, other than things published online
  3. tarheelg61581

    Friendly Bracket Picking Contest

    It's that time again....Click here if you want to play....no entry fee; no real prizes other than the satisfaction of knowing you beat out the other message board posters
  4. tarheelg61581

    Friendly Bracket Picking Contest

    It's that time again....Click here if you want to play....no entry fee; no real prizes other than the satisfaction of knowing you beat out the other message board posters
  5. tarheelg61581

    Friendly Bracket Picking Contest

    It's that time again....Click here if you want to play....no entry fee; no real prizes other than the satisfaction of knowing you beat out the other message board posters
  6. tarheelg61581

    Friendly Bracket Picking Contest

    It's that time again....Click here if you want to play....no entry fee; no real prizes other than the satisfaction of knowing you beat out the other message board posters
  7. tarheelg61581

    ADM numbers are out

    Here's your 2A ADM list, and I drew a line between my current projected 2A/2AA cut line....which could (probably will change by Saturday morning) Vance Co. 1437 (heard they're going to 3A next year, had been split into Northern Vance & Southern Vance since around 1990) North Davidson 1144 Durham Sch. of the Arts 1107 Hibriten 1034 St. Pauls 1027 Ledford 1023 SG Atkins 1019 South Point 999 Nash Central 990 Pisgah 990 North Lincoln 988 Currituck Co. 983 Forest Hills 980 South Rowan 972 HM Cummings 965 Central Davidson 952 East Duplin 951 East Lincoln 950 Roanoke Rapids 938 Franklin 933 West Craven 931 Wilkes Central 929 Anson Co. 919 East Henderson 901 Bunn 898 Dixon 896 Washington 895 Richlands 891 FT Foard 886 East Burke 884 Ruth.-Spin. Central 884 Salisbury 884 Shelby 884 West Stokes 880 Carrboro 877 East Gaston 872 Ashe Co. 871 Central Academy 871 East Davidson 871 Bunker Hill 866 North Lenoir 863 Mount Pleasant 861 Jordan Matthews 860 West Iredell 860 Newton-Conover 856 Croatan 852 First Flight 846 Hertford Co. 846 Bandys 842 West Lincoln 840 Forbush 839 Smoky Mountain 838 SW Edgecombe 838 Current Projected 2A/2AA Cut Line South Granville 836 Randleman 834 Maiden 832 TW Andrews 830 North Surry 826 CD Owen 821 RL Patton 821 Clinton 808 Wheatmore 808 Graham 806 Lake Norman Charter 805 North Pitt 799 Lexington 798 Brevard 789 Midway 788 East Rutherford 786 Goldsboro 784 Chase 783 West Davidson 780 Lincolnton 775 ET Beddingfield 770 Madison Co. 767 Hendersonville 766 Pasquotank Co. 766 Farmville Central 764 Bartlett Yancey 762 West Stanly 757 South Columbus 750 West Wilkes 750 Greene Central 749 South Lenoir 746 JF Webb 743 North Johnston 742 Providence Grove 740 SW Onslow 736 Heide Trask 736 Oak Grove 732 (only 9th-11th grade this year) Walkertown 725 Red Springs 717 Surry Central 715 Reidsville 708 Spring Creek 705 Trinity 696 Whiteville 692 West Bladen 688 NC Sch. of Sci. & Math 678 North Wilkes 677 James Kenan 676 Bertie Co. 675 Mountain Heritage 665 Northeastern 662 Thomasville 659 Ayden-Grifton 653 Eastern Randolph 648 Kinston 647 East Bladen 637 Wallace-Rose Hill 628 JC Draughn 618 Fairmont 616 East Montgomery 590 GW Carver 582 Warren Co. 578
  8. tarheelg61581

    Updated 2A/2AA Bracketology with new ADM numbers

    Yes, but of course Wheatmore needs to take care of business against Providence Grove this week to lock up that very high seed......only to get to play Providence Grove again in the 1st Rd....unless PG jumps over Patton or drops below Owen
  9. tarheelg61581

    Updated 2A/2AA Bracketology with new ADM numbers

    Yes, read the parenthetical details beside all four of those.....ED (2AAE) and Clinton/JK/WRH (2AE) are going to stay in the same bracket but they could change tiers....the spot I projected them is based on their current ranking/rating, and showing what happens if the favorites win this week (ED over WRH and Clinton over JK)....we all know once those games start, the power rating doesn't matter, but those will be easy adjustments to seeds once we get the final scores....they won't cause any shifts in 2A/2AA and E/W, or affect who's in or out of the playoffs....unless any of these teams (or others projected among the 64 currently in) get into a knock down drag out brawl and have a lot of ejections and can't go to the playoffs, hopefully they'll avoid any stupidity
  10. My revised projections with THIS YEAR's ADM numbers.....still a guessing game as we wait for this week's games to be played, not to mention the final adjusted maxpreps rankings, which are not published until the preliminary brackets go up
  11. tarheelg61581

    Bracketology Rough Draft

    We are still missing this year's ADM numbers, but thankfully, the state did publish a new version of Adjusted Maxpreps Rankings, (missing at least one game played Monday night for some reason, but we will take it), which was probably the last update until they release the final Adjusted Maxpreps Rankings with the brackets, whenever they are released (hopefully Saturday; don't be surprised if it's Monday....website says the reporting deadline is Saturday, Nov. 10 (and I'm not an AD, not sure if that means have it in by midnight Friday so they can release brackets Saturday, or if it means by midnight Saturday, so they can release brackets on Monday [or possibly, but doubtfully Sunday?]) Bear in mind, as always, there are a number of teams very close to where the cut line last year for 2A/2AA, and East/West in both subdivisions. Expect a few twists after the games this Friday night, which will affect the final rankings, which will affect the 64 teams that qualify for the playoffs....which will affect where the 2A/2AA cutline is....which will also affect where the East/West cut line is. If you would like to see a detailed explanation of this year's qualifying and seeding format, click here for the link to HighSchoolOT's article Anyway, below is a tentative rough draft that I will attempt to keep edited, as updates become available over the next few days, such as final scores from games this week, and the all-important new ADM numbers. Also, remember that it is a multi-step process to figure out the information below. First, the 64 teams in the 2A classification who qualified for the playoffs must be determined, then those 64 are split into the 2A & 2AA subdivisions, based on the school's Average Daily Membership numbers for this school year. The projections below are based on last year's numbers, because at press time, this year's have not yet been released. Then, after the 2A/2AA is established, the East/West cutline is established in both subdivisions. Remember that any time one team jumps into the 64 teams in the playoffs, another team is bumped from the field, causing teams to slide across the 2A/2AA cut line and/or the East/West cutline, so many teams' fate on Seeding Saturday (hopefully not next Monday) could look much different than what is posted below in this rough draft. Note there are some disclaimers and explanations of potential changes, but another disclaimer, right here is that it is very possible that I missed something. 2AA West Tier of Conference #1s, seeded by most recent Adjusted Maxpreps Ranking (shown in parentheses) 1-Pisgah (1) 2-Hibriten (6) 3-Bandys (7) 4-Shelby (13) 5-Ashe Co. (19) 6-Mount Pleasant (39) ------------------------ Tier of Conference #2s, seeded by most recent Adjusted Maxpreps Ranking (shown in parentheses) 7-North Lincoln (17) 8-Smoky Mountain (20) 9-South Point (26) 10-Fred T. Foard (47) 11-North Surry (51) (possible they could drop to small 2A) -------------------------- Tier of At-Large/Wild Card playoff berths , seeded by most recent Adjusted Maxpreps Ranking (shown in parentheses) 12-Franklin (33) 13-Maiden (37) 14-Robert L. Patton (49) 15-East Henderson (60) (Hoping for no other teams to have a Maxpreps Miracle and bump them out of the playoffs) 16-East Lincoln (63) (Hoping for no other teams to have a Maxpreps Miracle and bump them out of the playoffs) 2AA East Tier of Conference #1s, seeded by most recent Adjusted Maxpreps Ranking (shown in parentheses) 1-South Granville (2) (could trade places with Randleman, depending on final rankings, there is also a slight possibility that SG could go to small 2A, depending on how many [or few] students get added to the ADM from Granville Early College) 2-Randleman (4) (could trade places with South Granville, depending on final rankings) 3-SouthWest Edgecombe (5) (there is a possibility that SW Edgecombe could go to small 2A) 4-Ledford (8) (there is a possibility that Ledford could move to the West bracket) 5-East Duplin (14) (Must beat Wallace-Rose Hill AND have Clinton beat James Kenan to stay in tier of 1s....a loss to W-RH means ED drops to tier of wild cards....ED win & JK win puts ED in tier of 2s) 6-West Stokes (24) (depending on how things shake out, West Stokes could very easily move to the West bracket, and/or drop to small 2A) ----------------------------- Tier of Conference #2s, seeded by most recent Adjusted Maxpreps Ranking (shown in parentheses) 7-North Davidson (21) (there is a possibility that North Davidson could move to the West bracket) 8-West Craven (32) 9-Hugh M. Cummings (65) (Can move up to tier of 1s with an upset win over Reidsville) 10-Croatan (68) (could move up to tier of 1s with upset win over SW Onslow) ---------------------------- Tier of Conference #3s, seeded by most recent Adjusted Maxpreps Ranking (shown in parentheses) 11-Bunn (45) (Notice that Bunn's conference does not have a team projected in the tier of 2s in 2A or 2AA...it is a split conference, and the 1A division champion Granville Central actually finished 2nd overall in the standings...the 2A division is guaranteed two automatic bids, but a team must actually finish 2nd overall to be seeded in the tier of 2s, therefore Bunn is alone in a tier of 3s....Bunn needs to beat Roanoke Rapids to solidify this spot...if they lose that game, there is a three way tie for third place in the conference including those two teams plus Vance Co., and a random draw could determine which one is in the tier of 3s, which one will definitely be a wild card, and which one would be in danger of missing the playoffs, depending on what else happens this week) Tier of At-Large/Wild Card playoff berths, seeded by most recent Adjusted Maxpreps Ranking (shown in parentheses) 12-Currituck Co. (35) 13-St. Pauls (44) 14-Richlands (56) (needs to beat Lejeune to solidify this position, or else they are opening the door for others to bump them out) 15-Washington (61) (needs to beat North Lenoir to solidify this position, or else they are opening the door for others to bump them out) 16-Vance Co. (67) (Vance is currently projected to be the last team in; they are hoping for a Bunn win over Roanoke Rapids to stay alone in 4th place in the conference; a three way tie opens the door to a possibility of being left out, if they drew the short straw, of course they could also move up to the tier of 3s if there is a three way tie, also hoping for no other teams to have a last minute Maxpreps Miracle and bump them out of the playoffs) --------------------------- 2A West Tier of Conference #1s, seeded by most recent Adjusted Maxpreps Ranking (shown in parentheses) 1-Reidsville (11) (Must beat Cummings to hold on to this spot, or else they would drop to the tier of 2s) 2-Mountain Heritage (12) ------------------------- Tier of Conference #2s, seeded by most recent Adjusted Maxpreps Ranking (shown in parentheses) 3-Wheatmore (18) (must beat Providence Grove to solidify this position, loss opens door to three way tie with Eastern Randolph & Providence Grove) 4-West Stanly (34) ------------------------- Tier of Conference #3s, seeded by most recent Adjusted Maxpreps Ranking (shown in parentheses) 5-Salisbury (48) ----------------------- Tier of At-Large/Wild Card playoff berths , seeded by most recent Adjusted Maxpreps Ranking (shown in parentheses) 6-West Lincoln (22) (there is a possibility that West Lincoln could go to 2AA) 7-East Rutherford (23) 8-Brevard (25) 9-Eastern Randolph (27) (could move up if Providence Grove beats Wheatmore, forcing a three way tie for 2nd) 10-Hendersonville (38) 11-Thomasville (40) 12-Providence Grove (52) (could move up with a win over Wheatmore, forcing a three way for 2nd, with Eastern Randolph also in play to possibly move up) 13-Charles D. Owen (59) 14-Oak Grove (62) (can seemingly clinch playoff berth with win over Salisbury, possibly in danger of falling out of playoffs altogether with a loss in that game; not sure how the rankings will be affected) 15-Carrboro (64) (needs a win over Jordan-Matthews to solidify this position; hoping for no other teams to have a last minute Maxpreps Miracle and bump them out of the playoffs, see Lexington below at 16, could also slide to the East bracket)\ 16-Lexington (66) (hoping for no other teams to have a last minute Maxpreps Miracle and bump them out of the playoffs, biggest dangers would be a Roanoke Rapids win over Bunn, or if Red Springs found a way in, which would happen if they can beat St. Pauls AND West Bladen, and/or also possibly a North Wilkes win over Elkin) 2A East Tier of Conference #1s, seeded by most recent Adjusted Maxpreps Ranking (shown in parentheses) 1-Northeastern (3) 2-South Columbus (9) (needs to beat East Bladen to solidify this position, or else they drop to the tier of 2s, then Kinston moves to 2, East Bladen would be 3, could also slide to the West bracket) 3-Kinston (10) 4-Southwest Onslow (31) (needs to beat Croatan to solidify spot in tier of 1s, or else they drop to tier of 2s) ----------------------------- Tier of Conference #2s, seeded by most recent Adjusted Maxpreps Ranking (shown in parentheses) 5-Clinton (15) (can move up to tier of 1s with win over James Kenan AND a Wallace-Rose Hill win over East Duplin, would drop to tier of wild cards with loss to James Kenan, also a possibility they could move to 2AA) 6-East Bladen (16) (can move up to tier of 1s with win over South Columbus) 7-Edgar T. Beddingfield (30) (there is a possibility they could move to 2AA) 8-Hertford Co. (36) (there is a possibility they could move to 2AA) ------------------------------ Tier of At-Large/Wild Card playoff berths , seeded by most recent Adjusted Maxpreps Ranking (shown in parentheses) 9-Wallace-Rose Hill (28) (can move up to tier of 1s with win over East Duplin AND a James Kenan win over Clinton, would move up to tier of 2s with win over East Duplin AND a Clinton win over James Kenan) 10-Whiteville (29) (could slide to the West bracket) 11-James Kenan (41) (can move up to tier of 1s with win over Clinton AND East Duplin win over Wallace-Rose Hill, would move up to tier of 2s with win over Clinton AND Wallace-Rose Hill win over East Duplin 12-Ayden-Grifton (42) 13-Bertie Co. (43) 14-Greene Central (46) 15-Goldsboro (54) 16-First Flight (58) ----------------------------- On the outside looking in right now; in danger of missing the playoffs -Teams ranked in the 50s would be in as wild cards, but their conference finishing position is holding them back -#50-Roanoke Rapids: needs to beat Bunn to force a three way tie (also including Vance Co).....if they get in, they would most likely bump out Vance Co., unless Vance were to win the draw, which could bump out Lexington or whoever is #66 in the final rankings) -#53-Red Springs: not looking too good; they needed to beat St. Pauls AND West Bladen and get into a three way tie for 4th place in their conference, but lost to St. Pauls, almost no chance for them now in 6th place unless Fairmont (5th place, ranked #76) winds up having to forfeit conference wins, which could allow Red Springs to move up from 6th to 5th -#55-Anson Co.: finished 4th in conference, while 3rd place Forest Hills is ranked #79 and almost certainly not getting in, which means Anson is almost certainly not getting in (therefore Anson almost certainly not getting in unless unless Forest Hills winds up having to forfeit conference wins for some reason) -#57-Nash Central: finished 4th in conference, while 3rd place Farmville Central is ranked #78 and almost certainly not getting in (therefore Nash Ce. almost certainly not getting in unless Farmville Central winds up having to forfeit conference wins for some reason) ------------------------------- -Teams ranked 69 or lower (for the moment) are on the outside looking in, hoping for a Maxpreps Miracle on Saturday; if maybe the right teams win and lose this week and their strength of schedule gets a boost; these teams could be helped by an Oak Grove loss to Salisbury, a seemingly less-likely Carrboro loss to Jordan-Matthews....or any team listed above as a playoff team missing the playoffs for reasons such as ineligible players causing wins to be forfeited (see Wilkes Central below) or being declared ineligible for the playoffs if 3 or more players get ejected for fighting in this week's final games -#69-T. Wingate Andrews (already played 11 games) -#70-Newton-Conover (already played 11 games) -#71-North Wilkes (has a game with Elkin this week) -#72-Wilkes Central (already played 11 games, recently announced a forfeit loss due to an ineligible player; which virtually burst its playoff bubble, very unlikely they would jump into top 67 or 68 without playing a game this week)
  12. tarheelg61581

    Wilkes Central Forfeits Game

    Yes, this is possible....many teams from Columbus Co. have been in the West in multiple sports in the past and it could happen again this year.....last year, Whiteville made a trip to Mountain Heritage....I'm at South Granville.....and we have been 2AA the last five years, but if we fall to small 2A this year, we could be in the West.....one way to get away from it (and even then it's not guaranteed) would be to go to pod system....but then people would complain about so many conference rematch games in the early rounds of the playoffs
  13. tarheelg61581

    Wilkes Central Forfeits Game

    I still think Owen will be in....they were ahead of Wilkes Central in the previous run of adjusted maxpreps rankings anyway....it definitely helps Owen in that one less team is possibly gaining ground on them...but remember that whether Wilkes Central would be 2A or 2AA has nothing to do with whether or not Owen would get into the playoffs....it's about the adjusted maxpreps rankings to see who gets the wild cards first to fill out the 64 teams that qualify for the playoffs....THEN those 64 get split into 2AA & 2A....then those two groups of 32 get split into West & East based on longitude (and like last year, don't be surprised if teams geographically west of Greensboro go in the East bracket in 2AA, while a couple of teams to the east of Raleigh could be in the small 2A West bracket)....We know the longitudes have not changed, but really would like to see this week's updated adjusted rankings and this year's updated ADM numbers so we can update projections
  14. tarheelg61581

    Wilkes Central Forfeits Game

    Last year, they either were, or would have been 2AA...can't remember if they made the playoffs or not
  15. tarheelg61581

    Wilkes Central Forfeits Game

    This loss could end the Eagles' chances of making the playoffs.....they were sitting right on the bubble with a #64 (adjusted) ranking last week, now probably going to drop too low to get in
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