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2017 NCHSAA Realignment

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Projected 3A bracket...if season ended today


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#1 Eagles 1313

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Posted 06 May 2015 - 11:45 AM

Here is the projected 3A bracket if the season was to end today.  Only use 22 game record.  If a team played more than 22 games they could drop up to 2 non-conference losses.

 

East/West Line: Northern Guilford/Asheboro

 

3A East

1 Seeds

1- Terry Sanford 1.000

2- Topsail .909

3- Cardnial Gibbons .905

4- West Craven .857

5- CB Aycock .800

6- Wilson Fike .684

7- Corinth Holders .667

8- Eastern Guilford .636

2 Seeds

9- Orange .857

10-Western Alamance .810

11-West Carteret .650

12-Cleveland .636

13-Lee County .611

14-Rocky Mount .556

3 Seeds

15-West Brunswick .773

16-Swansboro .706

17-Chapel Hill .682

18-South Johnston .650

19-Northern Guilford .591

20-Gray's Creek .524

21-Northern Nash .450

Wild Cards

22-Southern Lee .682

23/24/25-Rockingham County .650

23/24/25-Northwood .650

23/24/25-Triton .650

26-Eastern Wayne .632 (automatic berth, 4th overall in conference, 2nd from Eastern Carolina)

27-Northeast Guilford .591

28-Jacksonville .571

29-Northern Vance .526

30-Cedar Ridge .524

31-Wilson Hunt .500

32-Morehead .471

 

3A West

1 Seeds

1- Marvin Ridge .864

2- Burns .850

3- South Point .800

4- West Rowan .773

5- AC Reynolds .700

6- Pisgah .647

7- Hibriten .632

8- Asheboro .611

9- West Iredell .474

2 Seeds

10-Cuthbertson .818

11-Crest .714

12/13-SW Randolph .682

12/13-East Rowan .682

3 Seeds

14-Piedmont .727

15-Carson .682

16-North Gaston .600

17-Asheville .591

18-Southern Guilford .588

19-Patton .524

20-North Henderson .429

Wild Cards

21-Forestview .682

22/23/24-South Rowan .636

22/23/24-Weddington .636

22/23/24-Hickory Ridge .636

25/26-South Iredell .632 (automatic berth being 2nd team from 3A part of conference, 4th overall in conf)

25/26-Enka .632

27-Cox Mill .600

28/29-Hickory .579

28/29-Erwin .579

30-East Gaston .550

31-Ledford .500

32-Kings Mountain .474

 

Last 4 IN: Wilson Hunt (.500), Ledford (.500), Kings Mountain (.474), Morehead (.471)

 

First 4 OUT: Union Pines (.455), North Lincoln (.429), West Henderson (.421), William (.409)

 

Next 4 OUT: Concord (.409), Havelock (.409), Richlands (.409), Tuscola (.400)



#2 Rocket Pride

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Posted 07 May 2015 - 10:19 AM

What're the odds that the NCHSAA will pair ACR with Erwin again in the first round since they are tied with Hickory? Could possibly be the fourth meeting between these two schools on the year and the second in as many weeks.



#3 Eagles 1313

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Posted 07 May 2015 - 10:29 AM

Same as West Brunswick and Topsail meeting for the 4th time in round 2 possibly.  Where there is a slash that means the NCHSAA will draw between those two or three schools.  At least that is what they did this year in basketball and this is the same seeding procedure as basketball



#4 Rocket Pride

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Posted 07 May 2015 - 10:37 AM

Same was West Brunswick and Topsail meeting for the 4th time in round 2 possibly.  Where there is a slash that means the NCHSAA will draw between those two or three schools.  At least that is what they did this year in basketball and this is the same seeding procedure as basketball

Thanks! Good luck to you guys!



#5 Eagles 1313

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Posted 07 May 2015 - 10:55 AM

Thanks! We will need it



#6 Eagles 1313

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Posted 08 May 2015 - 07:28 AM

After yesterday, there will be some shake up in the next projections which I will put out later on Saturday....

 

Cardinal Gibbons and Orange will have a one game playoff tonight to see who the #1 and #2 seed are from that conference.

 

Corinth Holders and Cleveland both lost in their conference tournament games yesterday, so Triton or South Johnston will receive the #2 seed for the conference, Cleveland will be the #3 seed and the loser of the Triton-South Johnston game will be a wild card.

 

Cox Mill won their conference tournament so they take the #2 seed from their conference and bump East Rowan to a 3 seed and Carson to a wild card

 

A lot can go on with the middle part of the bracket on the East side in the next 48 hours!  



#7 Fred Galey

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Posted 09 May 2015 - 02:59 PM

Western Alamance & Eastern Guilford both lost in Conf tourney. They played Thursday night for seeding with Western Alamance winning. Supposedly it was for the 1 seed from the conference.

#8 Eagles 1313

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Posted 09 May 2015 - 05:27 PM

Thats correct.  Western Alamance will have the 1 seed.  With Northern Guilford winning the conference tournament, they will receive the #2 seed and that will knock Eastern Guilford to the #3 seed



#9 Eagles 1313

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Posted 09 May 2015 - 05:47 PM

FINAL 3A BASEBALL PROJECTIONS (6:30pm 5/9/15)

 

EAST/WEST Line: Northern Guilford/Asheboro

 

3A East

1 Seeds

1. Terry Sanford 1.000

2/3. Cardinal Gibbons .909

2/3. Topsail .909

4. West Craven .864

5/6. CB Aycock .810

5/6. Western Alamance .810

7. Wilson Fike .684

8. Corinth Holders .667

2 Seeds

9. Orange .864

10. West Carteret .682

11. Cleveland .636

12. Lee County .611

13. Northern Guilford .591 (won Mid State 3A conference tournament)

14. Northern Nash .450 (won Big East 3A conference tournament)

3 Seeds

15. West Brunswick .773

16. Southern Lee .682

17. Northwood .667

18. South Johnston .650

19. Eastern Guilford .636

20. Jacksonville .591

21. Rocky Mount .556

Wild Cards

22. Chapel Hill .682

23. Swansboro .667

24/25. Rockingham County .650

24/25. Triton .650

26.Eastern Wayne .632 (automatic berth as 2nd team from Eastern Carolina 3A/4A split, finished 4th overall)

27. Northeast Guilford .591

28. Gray's Creek .524

29. Northern Vance .550

30/31. Wilson Hunt .500

30/31. Cedar Ridge .500

32. Morehead .471

 

3A West

1 Seeds

1/2. Burns .864

1/2 . Marvin Ridge .864

3. South Point .800

4. West Rowan .773

5. AC Reynolds .700

6. Pisgah .684

7. Hibriten .632

8. Asheboro .611

9. West Iredell .474

2 Seeds

10. Cuthbertson .818

11. Crest .727

12. SW Randolph .682

13. Cox Mill .600 (won South Piedmont 3A conference tournament)

3 Seeds

14. Piedmont .727

15. Carson .682

16. Enka .632

17. North Gaston .600

18. Southern Guilford .588

19. North Henderson .545

20. Patton .524

Wild Cards

21/22. East Rowan .682

21/22. Forestview .682

23/24/25. South Rowan .636

23/24/25. Weddington .636

23/24/25. Hickory Ridge .636

26. South Iredell .632 (automatic berth as 2nd team from North Piedmont 3A/4A, finished 4th overall)

27. Asheville .591

28/29. Hickory .579

28/29. Erwin .579

30. East Gaston .550

31. Kings Mountain .524

32. Ledford .500

 

Last 4 IN: Wilson Hunt, Ledford, Cedar Ridge, Morehead

 

First 4 OUT: Union Pines (.455), West Henderson (.429), Williams (.409), Concord (.409)

 

Next 4 OUT: North Lincoln (.409), Havelock (.409), Richlands (.409), Tuscola (.400)


Edited by Eagles 1313, 10 May 2015 - 12:26 PM.


#10 HRBulls2015

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Posted 09 May 2015 - 08:41 PM

Great work with the brackets, just a few things to clean up about what I know about the SPC teams that will make it:

 

Carson - Will be a #3 seed as they hold the SPC tie-breaker over East Rowan. Both finished the SPC at 10-6 but in the conference tournament Carson was the #2 seed and East was the #3 seed and Carson made the semi-finals vs. Hickory Ridge (Lost 6-5).

 

Hickory Ridge - Lost to Cox Mill 7-2 in the SPC tournament championship game. Can report a record of 16-9 (.640) but cannot drop a non-conference game. (6-0 in non-conference games this season)

 

South Rowan - Lost to Cox Mill 7-3 in the 1st round of the SPC Tournament. Can report a 22-game record of 14-8 (.636) and drop a non-conference loss to J.M. Robinson.

 

East Rowan - Lost to Hickory Ridge 7-3 in the 1st round of the SPC tournament. Can report a 22-game record of 15-8 (.652) and drop non-conference losses to North Davidson (4A) and R.J. Reynolds (4A).

 

So after all is said and done, the SPC teams would be seeded as follows:

 

Carson - #3 seed

East Rowan - .652

Hickory Ridge - .640

South Rowan - .636

 

Also, not too sure how Weddington would be seeded that high amongst the wild cards, they can report a 22-game record of 15-9 and drop non-conference losses to Ardrey Kell (4A) and South Meck (4A) for a record of 15-9 (.636). Would have to be drawn with South Rowan to see who would be seeded first for their spot in the wild cards.

 

If I read the NCHSAA rules correctly (I apologize if I am misunderstanding something) it says that teams can drop 2 non-conference losses if they played more than a 22-game schedule.



#11 Eagles 1313

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Posted 09 May 2015 - 10:01 PM

If you report a 22 game record it has to be 22 games. You have to drop non conference wins to report the 22 game record as well and all conference tournament games do not count toward that 22 game winning percentage.

East Rowan and Carson will just swap spots.
Hickory Ridge can't report 16-9 because that's 25 games. Any conference tournament wins or losses can't count toward their overall record

#12 HRBulls2015

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Posted 09 May 2015 - 11:15 PM

Okay, that makes sense. Thank you for the clarification.



#13 Eagles 1313

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Posted 09 May 2015 - 11:35 PM

You're welcome! 



#14 HRBulls2015

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Posted 10 May 2015 - 10:11 AM

Will the NCHSAA release the seeds for everyone to see today?



#15 Barefoot

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Posted 10 May 2015 - 12:14 PM

Southern Lee actually owns the #3 seed out of the CFV Conference, which would move Grays Creek to a wildcard spot. Great job with the brackets, just an FYI...



#16 Eagles 1313

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Posted 10 May 2015 - 12:19 PM

Thanks! I was just basing everything off of what MaxPreps has because that is how the NCHSAA will seed it...the NCHSAA will not release brackets until Monday morning.



#17 Eagles 1313

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Posted 10 May 2015 - 12:27 PM

Fixed and updated now....should be a pretty good guess to what they release on Monday morning






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